Value angle: Algeciras to win at 2.85 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Marbella 0–1 Algeciras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marbella36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Algeciras38%fair 2.65 · @2.85
2.02Expected goals
1.00Marbella xG
1.03Algeciras xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.0 – 1.0 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win✗
38%
2.65
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.36
–
Form
Marbella – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ FC Cartagena
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Algeciras
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Algeciras.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Marbella vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Marbella have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Algeciras 38%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Marbella 0–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Algeciras?
Marbella vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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