Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.98
Gobelins vs Rouen preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Gobelins take on Rouen on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Pele. Gobelins are 9th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Rouen sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gobelins's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Orleans 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rouen's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Stade Briochin 3–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Gobelins and 1.6 for Rouen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gobelins 15%, draw 25%, Rouen 60%.
Safer route: Rouen or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Rouen to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rouen or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gobelins 0–1 Rouen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gobelins15%fair 6.65 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Rouen60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
2.26Expected goals
0.66Gobelins xG
1.60Rouen xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Gobelins 0.7 – 1.6 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✗
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.98
–
Form
Gobelins – last 5
LLWDD
13 Mar
@ Orleans
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Chateauroux
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Valenciennes
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Rouen – last 4
WLDW
13 Mar
vs Stade Briochin
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Chateauroux
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gobelins and Rouen.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gobelins vs Rouen?
On our numbers Gobelins have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rouen 60%.
How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Gobelins 0–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gobelins vs Rouen?
Gobelins vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pele.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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