Concarneau host Valenciennes in the National 1 on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Guy Piriou. Concarneau are 6th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Valenciennes sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Concarneau's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to Sochaux 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Valenciennes's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Villefranche 3–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Concarneau and 1.1 for Valenciennes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Concarneau 1–1 Valenciennes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Concarneau44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.20
Valenciennes34%fair 2.94 · @2.95
2.43Expected goals
1.32Concarneau xG
1.11Valenciennes xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.3 – 1.1 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Concarneau – last 4
LDWL
13 Mar
@ Sochaux
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Dijon
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fleury 91
4–0
W
20 Feb
vs Versailles
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 3
WDL
6 Mar
@ Villefranche
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Valenciennes.
What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valenciennes 34%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Concarneau vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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