Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSochaux to win ✓51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Aubagne vs Sochaux preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Aubagne take on Sochaux on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Form guide
Aubagne's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Dijon 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Sochaux's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Concarneau 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sochaux arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Aubagne and 1.5 for Sochaux. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aubagne 27%, draw 22%, Sochaux 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Sochaux to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aubagne 0–1 Sochaux. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aubagne27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Sochaux51%fair 1.98 · @2.10
2.42Expected goals
0.97Aubagne xG
1.45Sochaux xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.0 – 1.5 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sochaux to win✓
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sochaux / FT Sochaux✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.03
–
Form
Aubagne – last 5
LLLLW
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sochaux – last 4
WWWD
13 Mar
vs Concarneau
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Villefranche
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Caen
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Sochaux.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aubagne vs Sochaux?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sochaux 51%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Sochaux?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 0–1 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Sochaux?
Aubagne vs Sochaux (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
