Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Dijon to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDijon to win ✗61% · @1.77
Double chanceDijon or draw ✓85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Dijon vs Caen preview and prediction
The match
Dijon host Caen in the National 1 on Friday 13 February, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Dijon and 0.6 for Caen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dijon 61%, draw 24%, Caen 15%.
Safer route: Dijon or draw (85%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Dijon to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dijon 1–0 Caen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dijon61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Caen15%fair 6.61 · @4.50
2.20Expected goals
1.58Dijon xG
0.63Caen xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dijon 1.6 – 0.6 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dijon to win✗
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Dijon or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dijon / FT Dijon✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
Dijon
No recent results on record.
Caen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Caen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dijon vs Caen?
On our numbers Dijon have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caen 15%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Caen?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Dijon 1–0 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs Caen?
Dijon vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux1
Sochaux1
Stade Briochin2