Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✓49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.95
Chateauroux vs Rouen preview and prediction
The match
Chateauroux host Rouen in the National 1 on Friday 13 February, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Chateauroux and 1.3 for Rouen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Chateauroux 1–1 Rouen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chateauroux27%fair 3.65 · @3.45
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Rouen49%fair 2.03 · @2.10
2.23Expected goals
0.89Chateauroux xG
1.33Rouen xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–210%
1–29%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 0.9 – 1.3 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
49%
2.03
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.95
–
Form
Chateauroux
No recent results on record.
Rouen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Rouen.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Rouen?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rouen 49%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 1–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Rouen?
Chateauroux vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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