Value bet: Pescara to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmpoli to win ✓40% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Empoli vs Pescara preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Empoli take on Pescara on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
Form guide
Empoli's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Spezia 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Pescara's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Virtus Entella 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pescara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Empoli and 1.4 for Pescara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Empoli 40%, draw 22%, Pescara 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Pescara to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Empoli 1–1 Pescara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Empoli40%fair 2.51 · @2.06
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Pescara38%fair 2.64 · @3.25
2.89Expected goals
1.47Empoli xG
1.42Pescara xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Empoli 1.5 – 1.4 Pescara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Empoli to win✓
40%
2.51
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Empoli / FT Empoli✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Empoli – last 5
DLLDD
17 Mar
@ Spezia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Bari
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Pescara – last 6
WDWDWL
18 Mar
vs Virtus Entella
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sudtirol
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Bari
4–0
W
4 Mar
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Palermo
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Venezia
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Empoli and Pescara.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Empoli vs Pescara?
On our numbers Empoli have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pescara 38%.
How many goals will there be in Empoli vs Pescara?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Pescara?
Our predicted score is Empoli 1–1 Pescara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Empoli vs Pescara?
Empoli vs Pescara (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bari0
Frosinone3
Reggiana