Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Avellino to win @ 3.70 – our chance 36% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampdoria to win ✓38% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Sampdoria vs Avellino preview and prediction
The match
Avellino travel to Stadio Luigi Ferraris in the Serie B on Sunday 22 March (17:15 WAT) to face Sampdoria. Sampdoria are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Avellino sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sampdoria's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Carrarese 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Avellino's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Sudtirol 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Avellino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Sampdoria and 1.2 for Avellino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Avellino to win at 3.70 – 36% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sampdoria 1–1 Avellino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampdoria38%fair 2.63 · @2.12
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.05
Avellino36%fair 2.74 · @3.70
2.40Expected goals
1.22Sampdoria xG
1.19Avellino xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.2 – 1.2 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampdoria to win✓
38%
2.63
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.08
–
Form
Sampdoria – last 5
LLDLL
18 Mar
@ Carrarese
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Frosinone
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bari
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Mantova
1–2
L
0.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 5
WWLDL
18 Mar
vs Sudtirol
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Venezia
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Reggiana
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pescara
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampdoria and Avellino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Avellino?
On our numbers Sampdoria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avellino 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sampdoria vs Avellino?
Sampdoria vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bari0
Frosinone3
Pescara2
Reggiana