Carrarese travel to Stadio San Nicola in the Serie B on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT) to face Bari.
Form guide
Bari's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Frosinone 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Carrarese's last 4: WLDD Most recently they beat Sampdoria 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Bari and 1.3 for Carrarese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bari 36%, draw 26%, Carrarese 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bari 1–1 Carrarese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bari36%fair 2.82 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.98
Carrarese39%fair 2.58 · @2.58
2.50Expected goals
1.21Bari xG
1.28Carrarese xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bari 1.2 – 1.3 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrarese to win✓
39%
2.58
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrarese / FT Carrarese✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.47
–
Form
Bari – last 6
LLWWDL
18 Mar
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Pescara
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Empoli
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Sampdoria
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Padova
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Sudtirol
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 4
WLDD
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Palermo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Catanzaro
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Mantova
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and Carrarese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bari vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Bari have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Carrarese 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bari vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Bari 1–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bari vs Carrarese?
Bari vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone3
Pescara2
Reggiana