Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.46 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMantova to win ✓44% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.75
Mantova vs Cesena preview and prediction
The match
Mantova host Cesena in the Serie B on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Mantova are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Cesena sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mantova's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Juve Stabia 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Mantova and 1.0 for Cesena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mantova 44%, draw 24%, Cesena 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Mantova to win at 2.46 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mantova 1–1 Cesena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mantova44%fair 2.25 · @2.46
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.35
Cesena32%fair 3.17 · @2.74
2.62Expected goals
1.58Mantova xG
1.05Cesena xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.6 – 1.0 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✓
44%
2.25
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.75
–
Form
Mantova – last 4
WLDW
8 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Palermo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 2
LL
3 Mar
vs Monza
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Spezia
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Cesena.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mantova vs Cesena?
On our numbers Mantova have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cesena 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Cesena?
Mantova vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Venezia3
Spezia1
Reggiana0
Monza0