Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVenezia to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceVenezia or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Venezia vs Padova preview and prediction
The match
Padova travel to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in the Serie B on Tuesday 17 March (20:00 WAT) to face Venezia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Venezia and 1.0 for Padova. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venezia 66%, draw 19%, Padova 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Venezia 2–0 Padova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venezia66%fair 1.50 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @5.60
Padova14%fair 7.11 · @8.40
2.92Expected goals
1.95Venezia xG
0.97Padova xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Venezia 1.9 – 1.0 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venezia to win✓
66%
1.50
1.30
Double chance
Venezia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
Venezia ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venezia / FT Venezia✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Venezia – last 2
WW
3 Mar
vs Avellino
4–0
W
21 Feb
vs Pescara
3–2
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Padova – last 2
DD
3 Mar
vs Spezia
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Bari
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Padova.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Venezia vs Padova?
On our numbers Venezia have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Padova 14%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Padova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Venezia 2–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Padova?
Venezia vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Spezia1
Reggiana0
Monza0