Empoli travel to Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in the Serie B on Sunday 8 March (15:00 WAT) to face Catanzaro. Catanzaro are 20th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Empoli sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Catanzaro's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Carrarese 3–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Empoli's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Bari 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Catanzaro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Catanzaro and 1.2 for Empoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Catanzaro 46%, draw 22%, Empoli 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Catanzaro 1–1 Empoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Catanzaro46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Empoli32%fair 3.12 · @3.25
2.60Expected goals
1.45Catanzaro xG
1.15Empoli xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.4 – 1.2 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catanzaro to win✓
46%
2.18
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catanzaro / FT Catanzaro✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.29
–
Form
Catanzaro – last 3
DDW
4 Mar
@ Carrarese
3–3
D
1 Mar
vs Frosinone
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Virtus Entella
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 3
LDD
4 Mar
@ Bari
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catanzaro and Empoli.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Empoli?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Empoli 32%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Empoli?
Catanzaro vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone3
Pescara4
Bari0