Carrarese host Palermo in the Serie B on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stadio dei Marmi. Carrarese are 17th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Palermo sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palermo's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Mantova 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Carrarese and 1.5 for Palermo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Carrarese 1–1 Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carrarese29%fair 3.43 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Palermo49%fair 2.04 · @2.12
2.58Expected goals
1.08Carrarese xG
1.50Palermo xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.1 – 1.5 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
49%
2.04
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.78
–
Form
Carrarese – last 2
DD
4 Mar
vs Catanzaro
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Mantova
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 3
WLW
4 Mar
vs Mantova
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Pescara
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Sudtirol
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Palermo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Carrarese vs Palermo?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palermo 49%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Palermo?
Carrarese vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone3
Pescara4
Bari0