Value bet: Frosinone to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrosinone to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Frosinone vs Sampdoria preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Frosinone take on Sampdoria on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Form guide
Frosinone's last 4: DDDW Most recently they drew with Pescara 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Sampdoria's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Juve Stabia 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Frosinone and 1.0 for Sampdoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Frosinone to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Frosinone 1–1 Sampdoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frosinone56%fair 1.77 · @1.90
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.50
Sampdoria24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
2.63Expected goals
1.67Frosinone xG
0.96Sampdoria xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Frosinone 1.7 – 1.0 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
56%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.30
–
Form
Frosinone – last 4
DDDW
4 Mar
vs Pescara
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Empoli
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Spezia
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Sampdoria – last 3
DLL
4 Mar
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bari
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Mantova
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Sampdoria.
What is the prediction for Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sampdoria 24%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Sampdoria?
Frosinone vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara4
Bari0