Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTre Penne to win ✓63% · @1.36
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.66
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni preview and prediction
The match
Tre Penne host San Giovanni in the Campionato on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo. Tre Penne are 2nd with 20 points from 8 games (in the top four), while San Giovanni sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tre Penne's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Libertas 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
San Giovanni's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to La Fiorita 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tre Penne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Tre Penne and 0.9 for San Giovanni. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tre Penne 63%, draw 23%, San Giovanni 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tre Penne to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tre Penne 1–0 San Giovanni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tre Penne63%fair 1.59 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.75
San Giovanni14%fair 6.96 · @6.00
2.85Expected goals
1.99Tre Penne xG
0.86San Giovanni xG
48%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 2.0 – 0.9 San Giovanni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Penne to win✓
63%
1.59
1.36
Double chance
Tre Penne or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Tre Penne ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.66
–
Form
Tre Penne – last 6
WDDWWW
19 Apr
@ Libertas
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Virtus
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Folgore
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Murata
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ Domagnano
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Tre Fiori
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Giovanni – last 3
LDW
7 Apr
@ La Fiorita
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Folgore
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Cailungo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tre Penne and San Giovanni.
What is the prediction for Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
Our pick is Tre Penne to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Giovanni 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 1–0 San Giovanni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
