Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa preview and prediction
The match
The Campionato sees Tre Fiori take on Pennarossa on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini. Tre Fiori are 4th with 17 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Pennarossa sit 13th on 5 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tre Fiori's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Faetano 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pennarossa's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Cailungo 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tre Fiori arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Tre Fiori and 0.7 for Pennarossa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tre Fiori 70%, draw 21%, Pennarossa 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tre Fiori to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Tre Fiori 2–0 Pennarossa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tre Fiori70%fair 1.43 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @5.00
Pennarossa10%fair 10.39 · @6.50
2.84Expected goals
2.15Tre Fiori xG
0.69Pennarossa xG
43%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tre Fiori 2.1 – 0.7 Pennarossa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Fiori to win✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Double chance
Tre Fiori or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Tre Fiori ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tre Fiori / FT Tre Fiori✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Tre Fiori – last 6
WWDWWD
19 Apr
@ Faetano
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Murata
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs La Fiorita
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Virtus
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Cailungo
3–2
W
4 Mar
@ Virtus
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pennarossa – last 3
WDL
7 Apr
@ Cailungo
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ San Marino Academy
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Folgore
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tre Fiori and Pennarossa.
What is the prediction for Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
Our pick is Tre Fiori to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
On our numbers Tre Fiori have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pennarossa 10%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
Our predicted score is Tre Fiori 2–0 Pennarossa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
