Celoricense vs AR São Martinho prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Celoricense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeloricense to win ✗68% · @1.60
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Celoricense vs AR São Martinho preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A sees Celoricense take on AR São Martinho on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto.
Form guide
Celoricense's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Vianense 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AR São Martinho's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Vilaverdense 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Celoricense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Celoricense and 0.5 for AR São Martinho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celoricense 68%, draw 22%, AR São Martinho 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celoricense to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celoricense 1–0 AR São Martinho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celoricense68%fair 1.48 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
AR São Martinho11%fair 9.51 · @5.00
2.34Expected goals
1.79Celoricense xG
0.54AR São Martinho xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Celoricense 1.8 – 0.5 AR São Martinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celoricense to win✗
68%
1.48
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Celoricense or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Celoricense ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celoricense / FT Celoricense✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Celoricense – last 5
LDWDW
15 Mar
@ Vianense
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Tirsense
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Chaves II
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Os Limianos
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Monção
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
AR São Martinho – last 5
LLLLD
15 Mar
vs Vilaverdense
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Camacha
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Machico
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Brito
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Bragança
0–0
D
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celoricense and AR São Martinho.
What is the prediction for Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
Our pick is Celoricense to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
On our numbers Celoricense have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AR São Martinho 11%.
How many goals will there be in Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
Our predicted score is Celoricense 1–0 AR São Martinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
Celoricense vs AR São Martinho (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Camacha2
Machico1
Vilaverdense0
Monção1
Ribeira Brava1
Vianense5
Mirandela0