Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Monção vs Chaves II preview and prediction
The match
Monção host Chaves II in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Lima.
Form guide
Monção's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Os Limianos 1–4 away. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chaves II's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Mirandela 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Monção and 1.5 for Chaves II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monção 31%, draw 21%, Chaves II 48%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Monção 1–1 Chaves II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monção31%fair 3.18 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Chaves II48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
2.58Expected goals
1.12Monção xG
1.46Chaves II xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Monção 1.1 – 1.5 Chaves II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chaves II to win✓
48%
2.10
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chaves II / FT Chaves II✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.01
–
Form
Monção – last 5
LWLDL
15 Mar
@ Os Limianos
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Bragança
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Ribeira Brava
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Celoricense
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Chaves II – last 5
LWLDD
15 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Celoricense
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vilaverdense
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Camacha
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monção and Chaves II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Monção vs Chaves II?
On our numbers Monção have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chaves II 48%.
How many goals will there be in Monção vs Chaves II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monção vs Chaves II?
Our predicted score is Monção 1–1 Chaves II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Monção vs Chaves II?
Monção vs Chaves II (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Lima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Camacha2
Machico1
Vilaverdense0
AR São Martinho0
Ribeira Brava1
Vianense5
Mirandela0