Value bet: Scarborough Athletic to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHereford to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Hereford vs Scarborough Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Scarborough Athletic travel to Edgar Street in the National League North on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Hereford. Hereford are 2nd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Scarborough Athletic sit 20th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Hereford and 1.3 for Scarborough Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Scarborough Athletic to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hereford 1–1 Scarborough Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hereford40%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Scarborough Athletic37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.75Expected goals
1.40Hereford xG
1.35Scarborough Athletic xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Hereford 1.4 – 1.3 Scarborough Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hereford to win✗
40%
2.53
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hereford / FT Hereford✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.16
–
Form
Hereford – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Darlington 1883
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Scarborough Athletic
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hereford and Scarborough Athletic.
What is the prediction for Hereford vs Scarborough Athletic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hereford vs Scarborough Athletic?
On our numbers Hereford have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Scarborough Athletic 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Scarborough Athletic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Scarborough Athletic?
Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Scarborough Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hereford vs Scarborough Athletic?
Hereford vs Scarborough Athletic (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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