Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town preview and prediction
The match
Merthyr Town travel to The Impact Arena in the National League North on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Alfreton Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Alfreton Town and 1.7 for Merthyr Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alfreton Town 35%, draw 21%, Merthyr Town 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Alfreton Town 1–1 Merthyr Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alfreton Town35%fair 2.84 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Merthyr Town44%fair 2.27 · @2.40
3.22Expected goals
1.51Alfreton Town xG
1.72Merthyr Town xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.5 – 1.7 Merthyr Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✗
44%
2.27
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Alfreton Town
No recent results on record.
Merthyr Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Merthyr Town.
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Merthyr Town 44%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town?
Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Merthyr Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town?
Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Impact Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Fylde3
Curzon Ashton3
Kidderminster Harriers1
Leamington0