Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChorley to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Bedford Town vs Chorley preview and prediction
The match
Bedford Town host Chorley in the National League North on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at The New Eyrie. Bedford Town are 10th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Chorley sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Bedford Town and 1.9 for Chorley. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bedford Town 30%, draw 20%, Chorley 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bedford Town 1–1 Chorley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bedford Town30%fair 3.36 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Chorley50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
3.22Expected goals
1.37Bedford Town xG
1.85Chorley xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Bedford Town 1.4 – 1.9 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chorley to win✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chorley / FT Chorley✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Bedford Town
No recent results on record.
Chorley – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bedford Town and Chorley.
What is the prediction for Bedford Town vs Chorley?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bedford Town vs Chorley?
On our numbers Bedford Town have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chorley 50%.
How many goals will there be in Bedford Town vs Chorley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bedford Town vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is Bedford Town 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bedford Town vs Chorley?
Bedford Town vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The New Eyrie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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