Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHereford to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Hereford vs Oxford City preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Hereford take on Oxford City on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Edgar Street. Hereford are 2nd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Oxford City sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hereford's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Marine 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Oxford City's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Peterborough Sports 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Hereford and 1.5 for Oxford City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hereford 39%, draw 23%, Oxford City 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Hereford 1–1 Oxford City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hereford39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Oxford City38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
3.06Expected goals
1.54Hereford xG
1.52Oxford City xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hereford 1.5 – 1.5 Oxford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hereford to win✗
39%
2.57
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hereford / FT Hereford✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Hereford – last 6
WWLLLL
8 Apr
@ Marine
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Merthyr Town
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Macclesfield
0–2
L
24 Mar
vs Spennymoor Town
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Alfreton Town
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oxford City – last 5
WDDDL
6 Apr
vs Peterborough Sports
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Merthyr Town
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Curzon Ashton
2–2
D
24 Feb
vs AFC Telford United
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Marine
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hereford and Oxford City.
What is the prediction for Hereford vs Oxford City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Hereford vs Oxford City?
On our numbers Hereford have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oxford City 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Oxford City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Oxford City?
Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Oxford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hereford vs Oxford City?
Hereford vs Oxford City (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfreton Town2
Kidderminster Harriers3