Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit to win ✓76% · @1.16
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21
Zenit vs FC Sochi preview and prediction
The match
Zenit host FC Sochi in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Gazprom Arena.
Form guide
Zenit's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Sochi's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat FC Orenburg 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Zenit and 0.6 for FC Sochi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zenit 76%, draw 14%, FC Sochi 10%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.52.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Zenit 2–0 FC Sochi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zenit76%fair 1.31 · @1.16
Draw14%fair 7.29 · @8.30
FC Sochi10%fair 9.96 · @18.50
2.96Expected goals
2.31Zenit xG
0.65FC Sochi xG
49%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Zenit 2.3 – 0.6 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✓
76%
1.31
1.16
Double chance
Zenit or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.52
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.62
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.21
–
Form
Zenit – last 6
DWWWWL
22 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dynamo
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Sochi – last 6
WWWWLL
3 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ FC Rostov
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Rubin
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit and FC Sochi.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Zenit vs FC Sochi?
On our numbers Zenit have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and FC Sochi 10%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit vs FC Sochi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit vs FC Sochi?
Our predicted score is Zenit 2–0 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Zenit vs FC Sochi?
Zenit vs FC Sochi (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
