Lokomotiv host Baltika in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at RZD Arena. Lokomotiv are 15th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Baltika sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Dynamo 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Baltika's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Akron 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Lokomotiv and 1.0 for Baltika. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv 51%, draw 22%, Baltika 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.89.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–0 Baltika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv51%fair 1.97 · @2.04
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.44
Baltika27%fair 3.67 · @3.95
2.50Expected goals
1.50Lokomotiv xG
1.00Baltika xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.5 – 1.0 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win
51%
1.97
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.89
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.10
–
Form
Lokomotiv – last 6
DDWLWL
1 May
vs Dynamo
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Zenit
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Baltika – last 6
LDDLLW
27 Apr
vs Akron
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Akhmat
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Zenit
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Zenit
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Baltika.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baltika 27%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–0 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
Lokomotiv vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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