Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkhmat to win ✗43% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.41
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala preview and prediction
The match
Akhmat host Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 15:15 (WAT) at Akhmat-Arena. Akhmat are 12th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Dinamo Makhachkala sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Akhmat's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Baltika 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dinamo Makhachkala's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to FC Rostov 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Akhmat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Akhmat and 1.0 for Dinamo Makhachkala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.99 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat43%fair 2.33 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.10
Dinamo Makhachkala33%fair 2.99 · @3.12
2.22Expected goals
1.21Akhmat xG
1.02Dinamo Makhachkala xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.2 – 1.0 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✗
43%
2.33
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.41 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.99 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Akhmat – last 6
DLWDDW
23 Apr
vs Baltika
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6
LDLDLW
2 May
vs FC Rostov
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Akron
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Zenit
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Baltika
2–2
D
18 Mar
@ Zenit
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Orenburg
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and Dinamo Makhachkala.
What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dinamo Makhachkala 33%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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