The National League sees Hartlepool take on Sutton Utd on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Prestige Group Stadium. Hartlepool are 21st with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sutton Utd sit 11th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sutton Utd's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Yeovil Town 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Hartlepool and 1.3 for Sutton Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hartlepool 1–1 Sutton Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool47%fair 2.11 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Sutton Utd29%fair 3.44 · @3.45
2.72Expected goals
1.43Hartlepool xG
1.29Sutton Utd xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.4 – 1.3 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
Attack vs National League average
-15%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.39
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
47%
2.11
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 1
W
25 Feb
vs Carlisle
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 3
LWW
25 Feb
@ Yeovil Town
2–3
L
21 Feb
vs Wealdstone
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Woking
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Sutton Utd.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutton Utd 29%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Prestige Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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