Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthend to win ✗65% · @1.28
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓84% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Southend vs Truro City preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Southend take on Truro City on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Roots Hall.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Southend and 1.0 for Truro City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Southend 65%, draw 20%, Truro City 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Southend 2–1 Truro City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southend65%fair 1.55 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.60
Truro City16%fair 6.39 · @9.40
3.10Expected goals
2.08Southend xG
1.02Truro City xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Southend 2.1 – 1.0 Truro City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Southend
Truro City
Attack vs National League average
+38%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-7%
Our expected goals here
2.24
1.22
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
65%
1.55
1.28
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Southend – last 2
LW
24 Feb
vs Boreham Wood
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Brackley Town
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Truro City – last 2
LL
25 Feb
@ Eastleigh
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Boreham Wood
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Truro City.
What is the prediction for Southend vs Truro City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Southend vs Truro City?
On our numbers Southend have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Truro City 16%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Truro City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Truro City?
Our predicted score is Southend 2–1 Truro City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Truro City?
Southend vs Truro City (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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