Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRochdale to win ✓65% · @1.25
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.28
Rochdale vs Brackley Town preview and prediction
The match
Rochdale host Brackley Town in the National League on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Crown Oil Arena.
Form guide
Rochdale's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with FC Halifax Town 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Rochdale and 0.9 for Brackley Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rochdale 65%, draw 20%, Brackley Town 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.35.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.35 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Rochdale 2–0 Brackley Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochdale65%fair 1.54 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.50
Brackley Town15%fair 6.58 · @12.00
2.90Expected goals
1.95Rochdale xG
0.94Brackley Town xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rochdale 2.0 – 0.9 Brackley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Rochdale
Brackley Town
Attack vs National League average
+6%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+20%
Our expected goals here
2.23
1.22
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✓
65%
1.54
1.25
Double chance
Rochdale or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.35 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.33
Half-time result
Rochdale ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Rochdale – last 3
DWD
24 Feb
@ FC Halifax Town
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Woking
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Scunthorpe
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brackley Town – last 2
LL
24 Feb
@ Wealdstone
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Southend
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Brackley Town.
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Brackley Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rochdale vs Brackley Town?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brackley Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Brackley Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Brackley Town?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 2–0 Brackley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Brackley Town?
Rochdale vs Brackley Town (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Crown Oil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.