Value bet: Sivasspor to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSivasspor to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü preview and prediction
The match
Sivasspor host Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu. Sivasspor are 18th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Keçiörengücü sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sivasspor's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Serik Spor 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Keçiörengücü's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Erzurumspor FK 2–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sivasspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Sivasspor and 1.0 for Keçiörengücü. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sivasspor to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sivasspor 1–1 Keçiörengücü. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sivasspor60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.50
Keçiörengücü21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
2.78Expected goals
1.83Sivasspor xG
0.96Keçiörengücü xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sivasspor 1.8 – 1.0 Keçiörengücü expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sivasspor to win✗
60%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Sivasspor ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sivasspor / FT Sivasspor✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
Sivasspor – last 3
WWD
1 Mar
@ Serik Spor
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Sakaryaspor
4–1
W
19 Feb
@ Adana Demirspor
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Keçiörengücü – last 3
LWL
4 Mar
@ Erzurumspor FK
2–4
L
23 Feb
@ Pendikspor
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Erzurum BB
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sivasspor and Keçiörengücü.
What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?
On our numbers Sivasspor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Keçiörengücü 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Our predicted score is Sivasspor 1–1 Keçiörengücü, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Erzurumspor FK8
Çorum FK0
Hatayspor1
Amed
Serik Spor