Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 57% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultÇorum FK to win71% · @1.05
Double chanceÇorum FK or draw88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.74
Çorum FK vs Hatayspor preview and prediction
The match
Çorum FK host Hatayspor in the 1. Lig on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Corum Stadyumu.
Form guide
Çorum FK's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Manisa F.K. 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hatayspor's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Bodrum FK 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Çorum FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Çorum FK and 1.0 for Hatayspor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Çorum FK 71%, draw 17%, Hatayspor 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 57% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Çorum FK 2–1 Hatayspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Çorum FK71%fair 1.40 · @1.05
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @9.00
Hatayspor12%fair 8.52 · @29.00
3.53Expected goals
2.56Çorum FK xG
0.97Hatayspor xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Çorum FK 2.6 – 1.0 Hatayspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Çorum FK to win
71%
1.40
1.05
Double chance
Çorum FK or draw
88%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.53
Half-time result
Çorum FK ahead at half-time
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Çorum FK / FT Çorum FK
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.74
–
Form
Çorum FK – last 4
WWWL
2 Mar
@ Manisa F.K.
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Ümraniyespor
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Serik Belediyespor
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs İstanbulspor
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hatayspor – last 4
LLLL
28 Feb
vs Bodrum FK
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Bandırmaspor
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Boluspor
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Çorum FK and Hatayspor.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
On our numbers Çorum FK have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hatayspor 12%.
How many goals will there be in Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
Our predicted score is Çorum FK 2–1 Hatayspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
Çorum FK vs Hatayspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Corum Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Erzurumspor FK8
Manisa F.K.1
Sivasspor0
Keçiörengücü1
Bandırmaspor1
İstanbulspor0
Amed
Serik Spor