Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K. preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Erzurumspor FK take on Manisa F.K. on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.
Form guide
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Keçiörengücü 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manisa F.K.'s last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Çorum FK 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Erzurumspor FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Erzurumspor FK and 0.7 for Manisa F.K.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzurumspor FK 67%, draw 21%, Manisa F.K. 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Manisa F.K.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzurumspor FK67%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Manisa F.K.12%fair 8.40 · @7.75
2.78Expected goals
2.05Erzurumspor FK xG
0.74Manisa F.K. xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 2.0 – 0.7 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Erzurumspor FK or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Erzurumspor FK ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Erzurumspor FK – last 5
WWWWW
4 Mar
vs Keçiörengücü
4–2
W
28 Feb
@ Van Spor Kulübü
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Serik Belediyespor
4–0
W
18 Feb
@ Keçiörengücü
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Adana Demirspor
7–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. – last 4
LWWL
2 Mar
vs Çorum FK
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ BB Bodrumspor
2–1
W
18 Feb
vs Bandırmaspor
3–2
W
13 Feb
@ Erokspor
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Manisa F.K..
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manisa F.K. 12%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Çorum FK0
Hatayspor1
Amed
Serik Spor