Value bet: Feirense to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarense to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Farense vs Feirense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Farense take on Feirense on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estádio de São Lúis. Farense are 8th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Feirense sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Farense's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Felgueiras 1932 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Feirense's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Sporting CP B 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Farense and 1.0 for Feirense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Farense 43%, draw 23%, Feirense 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Feirense to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Farense 1–1 Feirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farense43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Feirense34%fair 2.94 · @3.50
2.19Expected goals
1.19Farense xG
1.00Feirense xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Farense 1.2 – 1.0 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense to win✗
43%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farense / FT Farense✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Farense – last 3
DWL
13 Mar
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Chaves
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Feirense – last 6
LWLDLW
22 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Penafiel
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Benfica B
0–3
L
2 Mar
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Chaves
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Farense and Feirense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Farense vs Feirense?
On our numbers Farense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Feirense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Farense vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is Farense 1–1 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Farense vs Feirense?
Farense vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Lúis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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