Maritimo travel to Estádio da Capital do Móvel in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 4 April (14:00 WAT) to face Pacos Ferreira.
Form guide
Pacos Ferreira's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to União de Leiria 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maritimo's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat União de Leiria 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maritimo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.7 for Maritimo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Pacos Ferreira 0–1 Maritimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pacos Ferreira16%fair 6.12 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.35
Maritimo58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
2.47Expected goals
0.78Pacos Ferreira xG
1.69Maritimo xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 0.8 – 1.7 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maritimo to win
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Maritimo or draw
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maritimo / FT Maritimo
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
6.98
–
Form
Pacos Ferreira – last 5
LLDLD
29 Mar
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ FC Porto B
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torreense
0–0
D
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 5
WWLWW
15 Mar
@ União de Leiria
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Porto B
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vizela
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maritimo 58%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 0–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Farense0
Feirense1
Sporting CP B1
Penafiel2
Academico Viseu
Felgueiras 1932