Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa preview and prediction
The match
Lusitânia Lourosa travel to Estádio Do Vizela in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 15 March (12:00 WAT) to face Vizela. Vizela are 9th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Lusitânia Lourosa sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Vizela's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Felgueiras 1932 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Lusitânia Lourosa's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Sporting CP B 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vizela arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Vizela and 0.9 for Lusitânia Lourosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Vizela to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vizela 1–0 Lusitânia Lourosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vizela56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.00
Lusitânia Lourosa23%fair 4.28 · @3.75
2.60Expected goals
1.66Vizela xG
0.94Lusitânia Lourosa xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vizela 1.7 – 0.9 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vizela / FT Vizela✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.13
–
Form
Vizela – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
@ Felgueiras 1932
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Leixoes
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Maritimo
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 4
WLWL
8 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Farense
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Feirense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Penafiel
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vizela and Lusitânia Lourosa.
What is the prediction for Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our pick is Vizela to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
On our numbers Vizela have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lusitânia Lourosa 23%.
How many goals will there be in Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our predicted score is Vizela 1–0 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Vizela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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