União de Leiria vs Maritimo preview and prediction
The match
Maritimo travel to Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT) to face União de Leiria.
Form guide
Maritimo's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat FC Porto B 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for União de Leiria and 1.3 for Maritimo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: União de Leiria 37%, draw 25%, Maritimo 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: União de Leiria 1–1 Maritimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União de Leiria37%fair 2.74 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Maritimo38%fair 2.63 · @2.38
2.65Expected goals
1.31União de Leiria xG
1.34Maritimo xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.3 – 1.3 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maritimo to win✓
38%
2.63
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maritimo / FT Maritimo✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
União de Leiria – last 2
WD
8 Mar
@ Leixoes
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 4
WLWW
8 Mar
vs FC Porto B
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vizela
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maritimo 38%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
União de Leiria vs Maritimo (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
