Value bet: Maritimo to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaritimo to win ✗37% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Academico Viseu vs Maritimo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Academico Viseu take on Maritimo on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Academico Viseu and 1.2 for Maritimo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Maritimo to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Academico Viseu 1–1 Maritimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Academico Viseu37%fair 2.71 · @2.42
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.94
Maritimo37%fair 2.67 · @2.95
2.45Expected goals
1.22Academico Viseu xG
1.23Maritimo xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Academico Viseu 1.2 – 1.2 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maritimo to win✗
37%
2.67
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maritimo / FT Maritimo✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Academico Viseu – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Portimonense
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vizela
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Academico Viseu and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for Academico Viseu vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Academico Viseu have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Maritimo 37%.
How many goals will there be in Academico Viseu vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academico Viseu vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Academico Viseu 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Academico Viseu vs Maritimo?
Academico Viseu vs Maritimo (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Farense2
Lusitânia Lourosa1
Pacos Ferreira0
Oliveirense0
Penafiel1
Benfica B1