Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Montpellier to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontpellier to win ✓45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Nancy vs Montpellier preview and prediction
The match
Montpellier travel to Stade Marcel Picot in the Ligue 2 on Friday 6 March (20:00 WAT) to face Nancy. Nancy are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Montpellier sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nancy's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Laval 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Nancy and 1.3 for Montpellier. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Montpellier to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nancy 1–1 Montpellier. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nancy33%fair 3.08 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Montpellier45%fair 2.23 · @2.55
2.28Expected goals
1.01Nancy xG
1.26Montpellier xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Nancy 1.0 – 1.3 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✓
45%
2.23
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Nancy – last 3
DDL
27 Feb
@ Laval
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Grenoble
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ RED Star FC 93
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Montpellier – last 2
DL
27 Feb
vs Reims
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Rodez
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nancy and Montpellier.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nancy vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Nancy have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montpellier 45%.
How many goals will there be in Nancy vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Nancy 1–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nancy vs Montpellier?
Nancy vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Picot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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