Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rodez to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodez to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceRodez or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.84
Rodez vs Grenoble preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Rodez take on Grenoble on Friday 6 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade Paul-Lignon. Rodez are 13th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Grenoble sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Rodez and 0.7 for Grenoble. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodez 60%, draw 26%, Grenoble 14%.
Safer route: Rodez or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Rodez to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rodez or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rodez 1–0 Grenoble. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodez60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.50
Grenoble14%fair 6.94 · @4.00
2.47Expected goals
1.73Rodez xG
0.74Grenoble xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rodez 1.7 – 0.7 Grenoble expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodez to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Rodez or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Rodez ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodez / FT Rodez✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.84
–
Form
Rodez – last 2
WW
20 Feb
vs Montpellier
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Clermont Foot
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grenoble – last 2
DD
27 Feb
vs Boulogne
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Nancy
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodez and Grenoble.
Our pick is Rodez or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rodez vs Grenoble?
On our numbers Rodez have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Grenoble 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rodez vs Grenoble?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodez vs Grenoble?
Our predicted score is Rodez 1–0 Grenoble, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rodez vs Grenoble?
Rodez vs Grenoble (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Paul-Lignon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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