Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016% · fair 6.39
FC Porto vs Tondela preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees FC Porto take on Tondela on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estádio Do Dragão.
Form guide
FC Porto's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Nottingham Forest 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tondela's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with GIL Vicente 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.2 for FC Porto and 0.5 for Tondela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Porto 73%, draw 21%, Tondela 6%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Porto 2–0 Tondela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Porto73%fair 1.36 · @1.16
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @6.00
Tondela6%fair 17.00 · @23.00
2.72Expected goals
2.18FC Porto xG
0.54Tondela xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–014%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Porto 2.2 – 0.5 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win
73%
1.36
1.16
Double chance
FC Porto or draw
94%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.48
1.48
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
16%
6.39
–
Form
FC Porto – last 6
LDWWDL
16 Apr
@ Nottingham Forest
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Nottingham Forest
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs VfB Stuttgart
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ VfB Stuttgart
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Benfica
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Sporting CP
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tondela – last 6
DLLDWD
13 Apr
vs GIL Vicente
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Guimaraes
0–5
L
9 Mar
vs Rio Ave
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Santa Clara
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Estrela
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Alverca
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto and Tondela.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Porto vs Tondela?
On our numbers FC Porto have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tondela 6%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto vs Tondela?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto vs Tondela?
Our predicted score is FC Porto 2–0 Tondela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Porto vs Tondela?
FC Porto vs Tondela (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Dragão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
