Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.31
FC Porto vs Moreirense preview and prediction
The match
Moreirense travel to Estádio Do Dragão in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 15 March (21:30 WAT) to face FC Porto. FC Porto are 1st with 33 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Moreirense sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Porto's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for FC Porto and 0.6 for Moreirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Porto 71%, draw 18%, Moreirense 11%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FC Porto 1–0 Moreirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Porto71%fair 1.41 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @6.50
Moreirense11%fair 9.28 · @17.00
2.50Expected goals
1.93FC Porto xG
0.57Moreirense xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: FC Porto 1.9 – 0.6 Moreirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win
71%
1.41
1.17
Double chance
FC Porto or draw
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.31
–
Form
FC Porto – last 6
WDLWWW
12 Mar
@ VfB Stuttgart
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Benfica
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Sporting CP
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arouca
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Rio Ave
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nacional
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Moreirense – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ Casa Pia
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Rio Ave
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto and Moreirense.
What is the prediction for FC Porto vs Moreirense?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Porto vs Moreirense?
On our numbers FC Porto have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Moreirense 11%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto vs Moreirense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto vs Moreirense?
Our predicted score is FC Porto 1–0 Moreirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Porto vs Moreirense?
FC Porto vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Dragão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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