Value bet: Guimaraes to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuimaraes to win42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.15
Santa Clara vs Guimaraes preview and prediction
The match
Santa Clara host Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estádio de São Miguel. Santa Clara are 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Guimaraes sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Santa Clara's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Tondela 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Santa Clara and 1.2 for Guimaraes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Clara 34%, draw 24%, Guimaraes 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Guimaraes to win at 2.80 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Santa Clara 1–1 Guimaraes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Clara34%fair 2.95 · @2.64
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
Guimaraes42%fair 2.36 · @2.80
2.32Expected goals
1.07Santa Clara xG
1.25Guimaraes xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.1 – 1.2 Guimaraes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guimaraes to win
42%
2.36
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guimaraes / FT Guimaraes
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.15
–
Form
Santa Clara – last 3
DDL
1 Mar
@ Tondela
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Alverca
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Benfica
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guimaraes
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and Guimaraes.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
On our numbers Santa Clara have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guimaraes 42%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1–1 Guimaraes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
Santa Clara vs Guimaraes (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Miguel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
