Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: GIL Vicente to win @ 1.84 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✗65% · @1.84
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Estrela vs GIL Vicente preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Estrela take on GIL Vicente on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estádio José Gomes. Estrela are 12th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while GIL Vicente sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Estrela and 1.8 for GIL Vicente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estrela 15%, draw 20%, GIL Vicente 65%.
Safer route: GIL Vicente or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: GIL Vicente to win at 1.84 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GIL Vicente or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estrela 0–1 GIL Vicente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrela15%fair 6.68 · @4.35
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.35
GIL Vicente65%fair 1.53 · @1.84
2.51Expected goals
0.70Estrela xG
1.81GIL Vicente xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Estrela 0.7 – 1.8 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✗
65%
1.53
1.84 ▲
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
GIL Vicente ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.81
–
Form
Estrela – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Tondela
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
GIL Vicente – last 2
LL
2 Mar
vs Benfica
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Estoril
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela and GIL Vicente.
What is the prediction for Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is GIL Vicente or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers Estrela have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and GIL Vicente 65%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is Estrela 0–1 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
Estrela vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Gomes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
