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FAW Championship · Wales · Ammanford Recreation Ground

Ammanford AFC

DWWLW
4–0
FT

Newport City

LLLDW

Ammanford AFC vs Newport City prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Ammanford AFC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAmmanford AFC to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceAmmanford AFC or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12

Ammanford AFC vs Newport City preview and prediction

The match

Newport City travel to Ammanford Recreation Ground in the FAW Championship on Friday 3 April (19:30 WAT) to face Ammanford AFC.

Form guide

Ammanford AFC's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Cambrian & Clydach 0–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Newport City's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Treowen Stars 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Ammanford AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Ammanford AFC and 0.8 for Newport City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Ammanford AFC to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Ammanford AFC 1–0 Newport City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ammanford AFC62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.80
Newport City15%fair 6.84 · @5.00
2.55Expected goals
1.80Ammanford AFC xG
0.75Newport City xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 1.8 – 0.8 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmmanford AFC to win ✓62%1.621.44
Double chanceAmmanford AFC or draw ✓85%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Half-time resultAmmanford AFC ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ammanford AFC / FT Ammanford AFC ✓39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.12–

Form

Ammanford AFC – last 6

DWWLWD
24 Marvs Cambrian & Clydach0–0D
20 Marvs Baglan Dragons1–0W
6 Marvs Cardiff Draconians2–1W
1 Mar@ Afan Lido1–3L
24 Febvs Aberystwyth Town2–1W
13 Febvs Trethomas Bluebirds0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Newport City – last 6

LLLDWW
20 Marvs Treowen Stars2–3L
9 Mar@ Trethomas Bluebirds0–1L
6 Marvs Baglan Dragons1–2L
1 Marvs Carmarthen Town4–4D
20 Febvs Llantwit Major2–1W
13 Feb@ Afan Lido1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Newport City.

Ammanford AFC vs Newport City head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Newtown AFC1 Mold Alexandra2 157%1.95X21%3.50223%2.90 1Newtown AFC to win 57%@1.95 ✗
FT Buckley Town0 Brickfield Rangers6 162%1.85X18%3.50221%3.30 1Buckley Town to win 62%@1.85 ✗
FT Denbigh Town1 Penrhyncoch0 161%1.85X19%3.60220%3.10 1Denbigh Town to win 61%@1.85 ✓
FT Gresford Athletic0 Caersws2 141%2.45X22%3.40236%2.38 GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.36 ✗
FT Holywell0 Airbus UK3 125%3.40X16%3.50258%1.80 GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.44 ✗
FT Llandudno5 Ruthin Town2 170%1.11X15%8.50215%15.00 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.91 ✓
FT Rhyl1 Guilsfield2 145%2.25X21%3.20234%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✓
FT Afan Lido4 Cwmbran Celtic1 168%1.30X16%4.80215%7.00 1Afan Lido to win 68%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

Our pick is Ammanford AFC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Newport City 15%.

How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 1–0 Newport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

Ammanford AFC vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.