Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra preview and prediction
The match
Mold Alexandra travel to The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium in the FAW Championship on Friday 3 April (12:30 WAT) to face Newtown AFC. Newtown AFC are 2nd with 30 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Mold Alexandra sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Newtown AFC's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Rhyl 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Newtown AFC and 1.1 for Mold Alexandra. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newtown AFC 57%, draw 21%, Mold Alexandra 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newtown AFC to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newtown AFC 2–1 Mold Alexandra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newtown AFC57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Mold Alexandra23%fair 4.42 · @2.90
2.94Expected goals
1.86Newtown AFC xG
1.08Mold Alexandra xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Newtown AFC 1.9 – 1.1 Mold Alexandra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Newtown AFC ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Newtown AFC – last 5
WLLWW
24 Mar
vs Rhyl
6–1
W
20 Mar
vs Buckley Town
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Gresford Athletic
0–5
L
27 Feb
@ Flint Mountain
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Guilsfield
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Mold Alexandra – last 2
LL
13 Mar
@ Airbus UK
0–8
L
21 Feb
vs Rhyl
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Mold Alexandra.
What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
Our pick is Newtown AFC to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mold Alexandra 23%.
How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 2–1 Mold Alexandra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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