Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDenbigh Town to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Denbigh Town take on Penrhyncoch on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Central Park. Denbigh Town are 12th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Penrhyncoch sit 16th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Denbigh Town's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Holyhead Hotspur 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Denbigh Town and 1.2 for Penrhyncoch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Denbigh Town 61%, draw 19%, Penrhyncoch 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Denbigh Town to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Denbigh Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Denbigh Town61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @3.60
Penrhyncoch20%fair 4.99 · @3.10
3.52Expected goals
2.29Denbigh Town xG
1.23Penrhyncoch xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Denbigh Town 2.3 – 1.2 Penrhyncoch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denbigh Town to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Denbigh Town ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Denbigh Town – last 6
DLWWLL
31 Mar
vs Holyhead Hotspur
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Rhyl
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Airbus UK
3–2
W
13 Mar
@ Buckley Town
4–1
W
6 Mar
vs Brickfield Rangers
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Holywell
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penrhyncoch
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denbigh Town and Penrhyncoch.
What is the prediction for Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our pick is Denbigh Town to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
On our numbers Denbigh Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Penrhyncoch 20%.
How many goals will there be in Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our predicted score is Denbigh Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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