Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town preview and prediction
The match
Trethomas Bluebirds host Pontypridd Town in the FAW Championship on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence. Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pontypridd Town sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Trethomas Bluebirds's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Newport City 1–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pontypridd Town's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Cwmbran Celtic 5–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Pontypridd Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.7 for Pontypridd Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trethomas Bluebirds 35%, draw 23%, Pontypridd Town 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Trethomas Bluebirds 1–1 Pontypridd Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trethomas Bluebirds35%fair 2.87 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
Pontypridd Town42%fair 2.37 · @2.20
3.31Expected goals
1.57Trethomas Bluebirds xG
1.74Pontypridd Town xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 1.6 – 1.7 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✗
42%
2.37
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 5
WLLLD
9 Mar
vs Newport City
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Carmarthen Town
4–5
L
1 Mar
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–4
L
20 Feb
@ Afan Lido
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Ammanford AFC
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Pontypridd Town – last 3
WLW
17 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Llantwit Major
0–4
L
21 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Pontypridd Town.
What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pontypridd Town 42%.
How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 1–1 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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