Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Llantwit Major to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLlantwit Major to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceLlantwit Major or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Afan Lido take on Llantwit Major on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Princess Margaret Way. Afan Lido are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Llantwit Major sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Afan Lido's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Cambrian & Clydach 0–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Llantwit Major's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Cwmbran Celtic 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Llantwit Major arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Afan Lido and 2.0 for Llantwit Major. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Afan Lido 15%, draw 19%, Llantwit Major 65%.
Safer route: Llantwit Major or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Llantwit Major to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Llantwit Major or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Afan Lido 0–2 Llantwit Major. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Afan Lido15%fair 6.56 · @4.00
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Llantwit Major65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
2.84Expected goals
0.83Afan Lido xG
2.01Llantwit Major xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Afan Lido 0.8 – 2.0 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Llantwit Major to win✗
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Llantwit Major or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Llantwit Major ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llantwit Major / FT Llantwit Major✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Afan Lido – last 4
LWWL
13 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Ammanford AFC
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Newport City
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llantwit Major – last 5
WWWWL
10 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Pontypridd Town
4–0
W
3 Mar
vs Treowen Stars
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Ynyshir Albions
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Newport City
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Afan Lido and Llantwit Major.
What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Llantwit Major or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Afan Lido have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Llantwit Major 65%.
How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Afan Lido 0–2 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Princess Margaret Way.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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