Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Trefelin take on Ynyshir Albions on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Ynys Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Trefelin and 0.7 for Ynyshir Albions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trefelin 2–1 Ynyshir Albions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trefelin70%fair 1.43 · @1.12
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @7.00
Ynyshir Albions11%fair 9.36 · @13.00
2.80Expected goals
2.11Trefelin xG
0.69Ynyshir Albions xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Trefelin 2.1 – 0.7 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trefelin to win✓
70%
1.43
1.12
Double chance
Trefelin or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Trefelin ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trefelin / FT Trefelin✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
14%
7.38
–
Form
Trefelin – last 2
WW
17 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Carmarthen Town
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trefelin and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Trefelin have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ynyshir Albions 11%.
How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Trefelin 2–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Ynys Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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