Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Trethomas Bluebirds or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Trethomas Bluebirds to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceTrethomas Bluebirds or draw ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds preview and prediction
The match
Afan Lido host Trethomas Bluebirds in the FAW Championship on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Princess Margaret Way. Afan Lido are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Afan Lido and 1.9 for Trethomas Bluebirds. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Trethomas Bluebirds or draw (80%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Trethomas Bluebirds to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trethomas Bluebirds or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Afan Lido 1–1 Trethomas Bluebirds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Afan Lido20%fair 4.90 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Trethomas Bluebirds57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
2.98Expected goals
1.06Afan Lido xG
1.92Trethomas Bluebirds xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.1 – 1.9 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trethomas Bluebirds to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Trethomas Bluebirds or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Trethomas Bluebirds ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Afan Lido – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Newport City
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Ammanford AFC
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Afan Lido and Trethomas Bluebirds.
What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our pick is Trethomas Bluebirds or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
On our numbers Afan Lido have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trethomas Bluebirds 57%.
How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our predicted score is Afan Lido 1–1 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Princess Margaret Way.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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