Value bet: Kasımpaşa to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKonyaspor to win ✗48% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.31
Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa preview and prediction
The match
Konyaspor host Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Medas Konya Büyüksehir Stadyumu. Konyaspor are 15th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Kasımpaşa sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kasımpaşa's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Rizespor 0–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Konyaspor and 1.0 for Kasımpaşa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Kasımpaşa to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Konyaspor 1–1 Kasımpaşa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Konyaspor48%fair 2.10 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Kasımpaşa30%fair 3.37 · @3.60
2.47Expected goals
1.43Konyaspor xG
1.05Kasımpaşa xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Konyaspor 1.4 – 1.0 Kasımpaşa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Konyaspor to win✗
48%
2.10
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Konyaspor / FT Konyaspor✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
Konyaspor – last 2
WL
5 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kasımpaşa – last 3
LDW
28 Feb
vs Rizespor
0–3
L
23 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Fatih Karagümrük
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Konyaspor and Kasımpaşa.
What is the prediction for Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?
On our numbers Konyaspor have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kasımpaşa 30%.
How many goals will there be in Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Our predicted score is Konyaspor 1–1 Kasımpaşa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Medas Konya Büyüksehir Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük1
Antalyaspor0